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The T20 series of 2022

T20 World Cup 2022: Ultimate Match Guide - Australia vs Sri Lanka

Oct. 25, 2022

Australia - Team Notes

Batting Options: 8 (Main – 7; Support – 1) Opening Pair: LHB-RHB
  • Fantasy Opportunity Alert: As we discussed in our Australia tournament preview, both David Warner and Aaron Finch struggle against quality new-ball left-arm pace. Binura Fernando, a 27-year-old capable of moving the new ball, can, therefore, pose a threat when he is at his best. With Perth being a venue that supports Fernando's bowling style and Sri Lanka bowling 3 overs of him at the death in the last couple of games combined, Sri Lanka bowling first improves his fantasy potential even more.
Middle Order: No LHB options between No.3 and No.6
  • Fantasy Threat Alert: While this would normally be an open invitation to Wanindu Hasaranga and Maheesh Theekshana, keep in mind that the venue today is Optus, and spinners get no support at all here.
  • Fantasy Opportunity Alert: Again, as we discussed in the tournament preview, most of Australia's batting unit is vulnerable to pace and bounce, which opens the door for Lahiru Kumara, Sri Lanka's fastest bowler whose natural length is drawn back. This is the type of bowling that is usually successful in Perth.
  • Mitchell Marsh, a hometown hero, is an important pick for today's game because he is not only Australia's best back-foot power hitter, but his weaknesses against spin will be less exposed here than in other venues.
Lower Middle Order: With Tim David, Matthew Wade, and Pat Cummins at Nos 6-8, Australia has one of the deepest batting orders in the tournament, but this will only come into play today if they bat first. Otherwise, we expect the home team's top and middle order to chase down the sub-160 target. Bowling Options: 6 (Main – 4, Support – 2) Sri Lanka usually has three left-handers in their top seven, but with Danushka Gunathilaka out of the XI and Kusal Perera out of the setup, they only have two now, and even those two are only positioned at No.4 and 5, implying that they can't be effectively targeted with off-spin. Maxwell's overall potential suffers as a result, and some of the lost value is transferred to Marcus Stoinis' medium pace. But we would still put our faith in Maxwell because there are some signs that he is getting closer to finding his batting form, and he has generally excelled with the bat against Sri Lanka. In Form: David Warner, Matthew Wade Out of Form: None Big Names on the bench: Steve Smith Potential Changes: None Even though Cummins bowled poorly and is the weakest of all Australian bowlers in general, we don't expect the think-tank to panic after just one loss. Kane Richardson will, therefore, have to wait for his chance.

Sri Lanka - Team Notes

Batting Options: 8 (Main – 8; Support – 0) Opening Pair: RHB-RHB Pathum Nissanka has reportedly regained his fitness, which means he will replace Ashen Bandara in the starting XI.
  • Fantasy Opportunity Alert: Nissanka has struggled against right-arm pace, while Kusal Mendis has struggled against left-arm pace. So Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc, and Pat Cummins will all have plenty of opportunities here.
  • However, as highlighted in our Sri Lanka tournament preview, the opening pair are still the best batting bets in the team because of 1. where they bat and 2. how good (relatively) they are at back foot stroke play. And with these performances thus far, as well as the lack thereof from the likes of Bhanuka Rajapaksa and Dasun Shanaka, the prediction has already come true.
Middle Order: Two LHB options between No.3 and No.5 Fantasy Opportunity Alert: Brings Maxwell's offspin into play. Charith Asalanka's form and Bhanuka Rajapaksa's unfamiliarity with Australian conditions are major disadvantages for Sri Lanka. Lower Middle Order: SL has a nice little batting depth with Shanaka, Karunaratne, and Hasaranga at No.6-8, but this is a depth that will be more useful for batters above to play freely than for finding runs at the death, because they all have serious disadvantages against back of length bowling in these conditions. Bowling Options: 7 (Main – 5, Support – 2) For today's game, this is where things get tricky. Normally, Hasaranga and Theekshana are the obvious best bowling choices in this XI, but the nature of the deck and the type of opposition they are facing today elevates Binura Fernando and Lahiru Kumara to the same level. Perhaps we can strike a balance by bringing in Hasaranga for his all-around value and one of Binura Fernando/Lahiru Kumara. There are rumours that the fit-again Pramod Madushan will make the XI, which could mean that one of Fernando or Kumara will be dropped, making our job easier. In Form: Kusal Mendis, Wanindu Hasaranga, Maheesh Theekshana Out of Form: None Big Names on the bench: None Potential Changes: Pathum Nissanka in, Ashen Bandara out; Pramod Madushan in, Binura Fernando out

Fantasy XI Builder

Base Players: D Warner, M Marsh, G Maxwell, M Starc, J Hazlewood Support Players (AUS bat first): K Mendis, W Hasaranga, P Nissanka, B Fernando, M Stoinis, A Zampa Support Players (AUS bowl first): K Mendis, W Hasaranga, P Nissanka, B Fernando, A Finch, P Cummins Top C/VC options: D Warner (15%), J Hazlewood (10%) Differential captaincy options: M Starc (3.5%), G Maxwell (5%), M Marsh (5.5%) Top differentials: P Cummins (34%), B Fernando (14%)/L Kumara (23%), P Nissanka (33%), M Starc (55%) Full Fantasy XI (If Aus Bat First): D Warner, M Marsh, G Maxwell, M Starc, J Hazlewood, K Mendis, W Hasaranga, P Nissanka, B Fernando, M Stoinis, A Zampa Full Fantasy XI (If Aus Bowl First): D Warner, M Marsh, G Maxwell, M Starc, J Hazlewood, K Mendis, W Hasaranga, P Nissanka, B Fernando, A Finch, P Cummins

Predictions

If Aus bat first, total innings sixes – Over 7
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